Match Report | Spain 1-0 Argentina
Spain went in as underdogs (≈29% win probability) and still got it done — Argentina swallow a defeat few saw coming.
Match-by-match World Cup 2026 reports: verdicts, upset index, power-rating duels and qualification scenarios.
Spain went in as underdogs (≈29% win probability) and still got it done — Argentina swallow a defeat few saw coming.
England went in as underdogs (≈28% win probability) and still got it done — France swallow a defeat few saw coming.
A genuine coin-flip on paper — Argentina came out on top, edging England.
A genuine coin-flip on paper — Spain finally beat France.
Argentina delivered on a pre-match 88% win probability, beat beating Switzerland. No surprises here.
England delivered on a pre-match 77% win probability, edged beating Norway. No surprises here.
Spain delivered on a pre-match 66% win probability, edged beating Belgium. No surprises here.
France delivered on a pre-match 72% win probability, beat beating Morocco. No surprises here.
Heavy favourites Colombia were pegged back and left with just a point — a minor shock of the round.
Argentina delivered on a pre-match 91% win probability, edged beating Egypt. No surprises here.
Belgium delivered on a pre-match 66% win probability, thrashed beating United States. No surprises here.
A genuine coin-flip on paper — Spain came out on top, edging Portugal.