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Match Report | United States 1-4 Belgium
Belgium beat United States 4-1 in their 2026 World Cup knockout tie at Lumen Field.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 0-1
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (0-1), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
United States (No.20) and Belgium (No.14) are 6 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; Belgium went in the stronger side.
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.
