AdLIVE2026 World Cup · HD LiveEvery match free · zero bufferingWatch Now ⚽ →
2026 World Cup · On Now 🇲🇾 Kuala Lumpur · 22:12 MYT Selamat Datang · Jun 11, 2026
Live Scores Analytics Fixtures RSS 🌐 中文
DATA · POWER RATING ENGINE

World Cup Analytics Hub

Built on the directed graph of who beat whom: personalised PageRank computes the power ladder, while Monte Carlo simulation projects qualification, progression and title odds. All computed in-house, evolving with every real result.

0of 72 group games played
2,500Monte Carlo simulations
Jun 11 17:02Last data sync (MYT)
No group-stage results yet — these are pre-tournament projections: ratings use pre-tournament priors and probabilities are model-driven. Once results land, PageRank and every probability recalculates from real outcomes.

Power Ladder

Beating strong sides counts for more · effective Elo scale
  1. 1 Argentina Argentina — 1993
  2. 2 Spain Spain — 1948
  3. 3 France France — 1938
  4. 4 Brazil Brazil — 1923
  5. 5 England England — 1883
  6. 6 Portugal Portugal — 1878
  7. 7 Netherlands Netherlands — 1833
  8. 8 Germany Germany — 1823
  9. 9 Belgium Belgium — 1793
  10. 10 Uruguay Uruguay — 1778
  11. 11 Morocco Morocco — 1748
  12. 12 Colombia Colombia — 1718
  13. 13 Croatia Croatia — 1718
  14. 14 Senegal Senegal — 1698
  15. 15 Switzerland Switzerland — 1688
  16. 16 Japan Japan — 1683
  17. 17 Norway Norway — 1658
  18. 18 United States United States — 1638
  19. 19 Austria Austria — 1623
  20. 20 Turkey Turkey — 1618
  21. 21 Ecuador Ecuador — 1613
  22. 22 Iran Iran — 1613
  23. 23 Mexico Mexico — 1578
  24. 24 Algeria Algeria — 1578
  25. 25 Sweden Sweden — 1573
  26. 26 Ivory Coast Ivory Coast — 1558
  27. 27 Egypt Egypt — 1558
  28. 28 Scotland Scotland — 1538
  29. 29 South Korea South Korea — 1533
  30. 30 Australia Australia — 1533
  31. 31 Canada Canada — 1518
  32. 32 DR Congo DR Congo — 1518
  33. 33 Tunisia Tunisia — 1513
  34. 34 Czech Republic Czech Republic — 1508
  35. 35 Ghana Ghana — 1498
  36. 36 Paraguay Paraguay — 1458
  37. 37 Uzbekistan Uzbekistan — 1458
  38. 38 Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina — 1443
  39. 39 Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia — 1443
  40. 40 Qatar Qatar — 1418
  41. 41 Panama Panama — 1408
  42. 42 Iraq Iraq — 1393
  43. 43 South Africa South Africa — 1388
  44. 44 New Zealand New Zealand — 1368
  45. 45 Cape Verde Cape Verde — 1368
  46. 46 Jordan Jordan — 1368
  47. 47 Haiti Haiti — 1268
  48. 48 Curaçao Curaçao — 1268

Title & Progression Odds

2,500 simulations · computing…
Crunching probabilities… (a few seconds first time, instant after)

Group Qualification Odds

Includes the best-eight-thirds qualification rule
Crunching probabilities… (a few seconds first time, instant after)

Match Forecasts

Win/draw/loss odds + most likely score + expected goals (xG)
Group A · Jun 12 02:00 MYT xG 1.4 – 1.2
South KoreaSouth Korea 1 : 1 Czech RepublicCzech Republic
41 26 33
HomeDrawAway
Group A · Jun 12 02:00 MYT xG 2.1 – 0.6
MexicoMexico 2 : 0 South AfricaSouth Africa
72 19 10
HomeDrawAway
Group B · Jun 13 00:00 MYT xG 1.6 – 1.0
CanadaCanada 1 : 1 Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina
51 25 24
HomeDrawAway
Group D · Jun 13 03:00 MYT xG 2.0 – 0.6
United StatesUnited States 2 : 0 ParaguayParaguay
70 19 11
HomeDrawAway
Group C · Jun 14 00:00 MYT xG 0.3 – 2.4
HaitiHaiti 0 : 2 ScotlandScotland
3 13 84
HomeDrawAway
Group C · Jun 14 00:00 MYT xG 2.0 – 0.7
BrazilBrazil 1 : 0 MoroccoMorocco
69 20 11
HomeDrawAway
Group B · Jun 14 03:00 MYT xG 0.3 – 2.4
QatarQatar 0 : 2 SwitzerlandSwitzerland
3 13 84
HomeDrawAway
Group D · Jun 14 03:00 MYT xG 1.0 – 1.7
AustraliaAustralia 0 : 1 TurkeyTurkey
23 24 53
HomeDrawAway
Group E · Jun 15 00:00 MYT xG 1.1 – 1.5
Ivory CoastIvory Coast 1 : 1 EcuadorEcuador
28 25 47
HomeDrawAway
Group E · Jun 15 01:00 MYT xG 2.8 – 0.2
GermanyGermany 2 : 0 CuraçaoCuraçao
91 8 1
HomeDrawAway
Group F · Jun 15 01:00 MYT xG 1.9 – 0.7
NetherlandsNetherlands 1 : 0 JapanJapan
65 21 14
HomeDrawAway
Group F · Jun 15 02:00 MYT xG 1.6 – 1.1
SwedenSweden 1 : 1 TunisiaTunisia
48 25 27
HomeDrawAway

Methodology

Power ratings (PageRank): Teams are nodes; every finished match draws a directed edge from loser to winner (draws count half each way), weighted by goal margin. On this graph we run damping-0.85 personalised PageRank, with a restart vector of pre-tournament priors (Elo scale) — solving the cold start while real results steadily take over the rating. The stationary distribution r maps back to Elo via E = 1700 + 400·log₁₀(r·N).

Forecasts & probabilities: The Elo gap sets expected goals; independent Poisson distributions yield win/draw/loss odds and the most likely score. We then run 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations of every remaining match to estimate group qualification (incl. best-eight thirds), round-by-round progression and title odds. Finished results stay fixed.

Note: until the official bracket is set, knockout pairings use an unbiased random draw of the 32 qualifiers; priors only matter pre-tournament and are quickly corrected by real data. For reference only.