English
Match Report | England 1-2 Argentina
Argentina beat England 2-1 in their 2026 World Cup knockout tie at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 0-1
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (0-1), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
England (No.5) and Argentina (No.2) sit close on our PageRank Elo ladder — evenly matched on paper.
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.
