English
Match Report | France 4-6 England
England beat France 6-4 in their 2026 World Cup knockout tie at Hard Rock Stadium.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 1-1
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (1-1), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
France (No.5) and England (No.4) sit close on our PageRank Elo ladder — evenly matched on paper.
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.
