England
Match Report | England 4-2 Croatia
England delivered on a pre-match 67% win probability, beat beating Croatia. No surprises here.
Match Reports
Match-by-match World Cup 2026 reports: verdicts, upset index, power-rating duels and qualification scenarios.
Ghana
Match Report | Ghana 1-0 Panama
A genuine coin-flip on paper — Ghana came out on top, edging Panama.
Uzbekistan
Match Report | Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia
Colombia delivered on a pre-match 83% win probability, beat beating Uzbekistan. No surprises here.
Czech Republic
Match Report | Czech Republic 1-1 South Africa
Heavy favourites Czech Republic were pegged back and left with just a point — a minor shock of the round.
Switzerland
Match Report | Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Switzerland delivered on a pre-match 80% win probability, thrashed beating Bosnia and Herzegovina. No surprises here.
Canada
Match Report | Canada 6-0 Qatar
A genuine coin-flip on paper — Canada finally thrashed Qatar.
Mexico
Match Report | Mexico 1-0 South Korea
A genuine coin-flip on paper — Mexico came out on top, edging South Korea.
United States
Match Report | United States 2-0 Australia
A genuine coin-flip on paper — United States finally beat Australia.
Scotland
Match Report | Scotland 0-1 Morocco
Morocco delivered on a pre-match 75% win probability, edged beating Scotland. No surprises here.
Brazil
Match Report | Brazil 3-0 Haiti
Brazil delivered on a pre-match 91% win probability, thrashed beating Haiti. No surprises here.
Turkey
Match Report | Turkey 0-1 Paraguay
Paraguay pulled off one of the upsets of the tournament so far — the model gave them barely 13% to win, yet they still edged the higher-rated Turkey.
Netherlands
Match Report | Netherlands 5-1 Sweden
Netherlands delivered on a pre-match 83% win probability, thrashed beating Sweden. No surprises here.