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Match Report | Mexico 1-0 South Korea

Mexico beat South Korea 1-0 in their 2026 World Cup Group A match at Estadio Akron.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 1-1
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (1-1), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
Mexico (No.25) and South Korea (No.32) are 7 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; Mexico went in the stronger side.
Group A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Czech Republic | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | South Africa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
What's next
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.


