Paraguay
Match Report | Paraguay 0-0 Australia
Heavy favourites Australia were pegged back and left with just a point — a minor shock of the round.
Match Reports
Match-by-match World Cup 2026 reports: verdicts, upset index, power-rating duels and qualification scenarios.
Tunisia
Match Report | Tunisia 1-3 Netherlands
Netherlands delivered on a pre-match 89% win probability, beat beating Tunisia. No surprises here.
Japan
Match Report | Japan 1-1 Sweden
Heavy favourites Japan were pegged back and left with just a point — a minor shock of the round.
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Ecuador
Match Report | Ecuador 2-1 Germany
Ecuador pulled off one of the upsets of the tournament so far — the model gave them barely 7.7% to win, yet they still edged the higher-rated Germany.
Curaçao
Match Report | Curaçao 0-2 Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast delivered on a pre-match 87% win probability, beat beating Curaçao. No surprises here.
Czech Republic
Match Report | Czech Republic 0-3 Mexico
A genuine coin-flip on paper — Mexico finally thrashed Czech Republic.
South Africa
Match Report | South Africa 1-0 South Korea
South Africa pulled off one of the upsets of the tournament so far — the model gave them barely 15% to win, yet they still edged the higher-rated South Korea.
Scotland
Match Report | Scotland 0-3 Brazil
Brazil delivered on a pre-match 91% win probability, thrashed beating Scotland. No surprises here.
Morocco
Match Report | Morocco 4-2 Haiti
Morocco delivered on a pre-match 91% win probability, beat beating Haiti. No surprises here.
Switzerland
Match Report | Switzerland 2-1 Canada
Switzerland delivered on a pre-match 68% win probability, edged beating Canada. No surprises here.