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Match Report | Tunisia 1-3 Netherlands
Netherlands beat Tunisia 3-1 in their 2026 World Cup Group F match at Arrowhead Stadium.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 0-2
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (0-2), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
Tunisia (No.43) and Netherlands (No.7) are 36 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; Netherlands went in the stronger side.
Group F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 |
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.
