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Match Report | Portugal 2-1 Croatia
Portugal beat Croatia 2-1 in their 2026 World Cup knockout tie at BMO Field.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 1-0
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (1-0), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
Portugal (No.2) and Croatia (No.20) are 18 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; Portugal went in the stronger side.
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.
