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Match Report | Croatia 2-1 Ghana
Croatia beat Ghana 2-1 in their 2026 World Cup Group L match at Lincoln Financial Field.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 2-0
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (2-0), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
Croatia (No.11) and Ghana (No.10) sit close on our PageRank Elo ladder — evenly matched on paper.
Group L table
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.
