Match Report | France 3-1 Senegal

✍ Qiqi 🗓 Jun 22, 2026 ⏱ ≈1 min read

Photo: Petr Šmerkl, Wikipedia / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Football_stadium_Za_Lužánkami_Brno_Panorama_2010.jpg (CC BY-SA 3.0)

Group I · Matchday 1Jun 17, 03:00 MYT · MetLife Stadium

France

3-1Full time

Senegal

France beat Senegal 3-1 in their 2026 World Cup Group I match at MetLife Stadium.

Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 2-0

France 80%Draw 15%Senegal 5.2%

Prediction vs result

The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (2-0), and that gap is the story of this match.

Strength on paper

France (No.13) and Senegal (No.27) are 14 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; France went in the stronger side.

Group I table

Group I
#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Norway	1	1	0	4	1	+3	3
2	France	1	1	0	3	1	+2	3
3	Senegal	1	0	1	1	3	-2	0
4	Iraq	1	0	1	1	4	-3	0

What's next

FrancevsIraqJun 23 05:00 MYT SenegalvsNorwayJun 23 08:00 MYT

Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.

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