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Match Report | Iran 2-2 New Zealand
Iran and New Zealand played out a 2-2 draw in their 2026 World Cup Group G match at SoFi Stadium.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 2-0
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (2-0), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
Iran (No.14) and New Zealand (No.22) are 8 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; Iran went in the stronger side.
Group G table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 2 | Iran | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Belgium | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 |
What's next
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.
