Match Report | Iraq 1-4 Norway

✍ Qiqi 🗓 Jun 22, 2026 ⏱ ≈1 min read

Photo: Petr Šmerkl, Wikipedia / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Football_stadium_Za_Lužánkami_Brno_Panorama_2010.jpg (CC BY-SA 3.0)

Group I · Matchday 1Jun 17, 06:00 MYT · Gillette Stadium

Iraq

1-4Full time

Norway

Norway beat Iraq 4-1 in their 2026 World Cup Group I match at Gillette Stadium.

Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 0-2

Iraq 3.5%Draw 13%Norway 83%

Prediction vs result

The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (0-2), and that gap is the story of this match.

Strength on paper

Iraq (No.46) and Norway (No.28) are 18 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; Norway went in the stronger side.

Group I table

Group I
#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Norway	1	1	0	4	1	+3	3
2	France	1	1	0	3	1	+2	3
3	Senegal	1	0	1	1	3	-2	0
4	Iraq	1	0	1	1	4	-3	0

What's next

IraqvsFranceJun 23 05:00 MYT NorwayvsSenegalJun 23 08:00 MYT

Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.

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