Match Report | England 4-2 Croatia

✍ Qiqi 🗓 Jun 22, 2026 ⏱ ≈1 min read

Photo: Petr Šmerkl, Wikipedia / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Football_stadium_Za_Lužánkami_Brno_Panorama_2010.jpg (CC BY-SA 3.0)

Group L · Matchday 1Jun 18, 04:00 MYT · AT&T Stadium

England

4-2Full time

Croatia

England beat Croatia 4-2 in their 2026 World Cup Group L match at AT&T Stadium.

Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 1-0

England 67%Draw 20%Croatia 12%

Prediction vs result

The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (1-0), and that gap is the story of this match.

Strength on paper

England (No.15) and Croatia (No.26) are 11 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; England went in the stronger side.

Group L table

Group L
#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	1	1	0	4	2	+2	3
2	Ghana	1	1	0	1	0	+1	3
3	Panama	1	0	1	0	1	-1	0
4	Croatia	1	0	1	2	4	-2	0

What's next

EnglandvsGhanaJun 24 04:00 MYT CroatiavsPanamaJun 24 07:00 MYT

Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.

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