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Match Report | Colombia 1-0 Ghana
Colombia beat Ghana 1-0 in their 2026 World Cup knockout tie at Arrowhead Stadium.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 2-0
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (2-0), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
Colombia (No.4) and Ghana (No.10) are 6 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; Colombia went in the stronger side.
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.
