Model Forecast
Analytics Hub →Turkey winDrawParaguay win
Most likely score Turkey 1 : 1 Paraguay · expected goals (xG) 1.47 / 1.18
Elo rating 1852 vs 1814 · source: World Football Elo Ratings (real data, refreshed daily)
Group D Standings
Full Schedule →| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Turkey vs Paraguay — What to Watch
FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D: Turkey vs Paraguay, Kuala Lumpur time Jun 20 11:00 (MYT, daytime kick-off) at Levi's Stadium. Based on real World Football Elo Ratings (eloratings.net, Turkey 1852 / Paraguay 1814), our Poisson model gives Turkey to win 44%, draw 26%, Paraguay to win 30%, most likely score 1:1. Full schedule, standings and bracket: the Fixtures & Results page.
Turkey
Paraguay