Model Forecast
Analytics Hub →Senegal winDrawIraq win
Most likely score Senegal 2 : 0 Iraq · expected goals (xG) 2.30 / 0.35
Elo rating 1860 vs 1607 · source: World Football Elo Ratings (real data, refreshed daily)
Group I Standings
Full Schedule →Senegal vs Iraq — What to Watch
FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I: Senegal vs Iraq, Kuala Lumpur time Jun 27 00:00 (MYT, early-hours kick-off) at BMO Field. Based on real World Football Elo Ratings (eloratings.net, Senegal 1860 / Iraq 1607), our Poisson model gives Senegal to win 82%, draw 14%, Iraq to win 4%, most likely score 2:0. Full schedule, standings and bracket: the Fixtures & Results page.
Senegal
Iraq