Model Forecast
Analytics Hub →Norway winDrawSenegal win
Most likely score Norway 1 : 0 Senegal · expected goals (xG) 1.84 / 0.81
Elo rating 1951 vs 1816 · source: World Football Elo Ratings (real data, refreshed daily)
Group I Standings
Full Schedule →Norway vs Senegal — What to Watch
FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I: Norway vs Senegal, Kuala Lumpur time Jun 23 08:00 (MYT, daytime kick-off) at MetLife Stadium. Based on real World Football Elo Ratings (eloratings.net, Norway 1951 / Senegal 1816), our Poisson model gives Norway to win 62%, draw 22%, Senegal to win 16%, most likely score 1:0. Full schedule, standings and bracket: the Fixtures & Results page.
Norway
Senegal