Model Forecast
Analytics Hub →Japan winDrawSweden win
Most likely score Japan 1 : 0 Sweden · expected goals (xG) 1.93 / 0.72
Elo rating 1888 vs 1731 · source: World Football Elo Ratings (real data, refreshed daily)
Group F Standings
Full Schedule →| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 |
Japan vs Sweden — What to Watch
FIFA World Cup 2026 Group F: Japan vs Sweden, Kuala Lumpur time Jun 26 07:00 (MYT, daytime kick-off) at AT&T Stadium. Based on real World Football Elo Ratings (eloratings.net, Japan 1888 / Sweden 1731), our Poisson model gives Japan to win 66%, draw 21%, Sweden to win 13%, most likely score 1:0. Full schedule, standings and bracket: the Fixtures & Results page.
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