Model Forecast
Analytics Hub →England winDrawCroatia win
Most likely score England 2 : 0 Croatia · expected goals (xG) 2.26 / 0.39
Elo rating 2125 vs 1882 · source: World Football Elo Ratings (real data, refreshed daily)
Group L Standings
Full Schedule →England vs Croatia — What to Watch
FIFA World Cup 2026 Group L: England vs Croatia, Kuala Lumpur time Jun 18 04:00 (MYT, early-hours kick-off) at AT&T Stadium. Based on real World Football Elo Ratings (eloratings.net, England 2125 / Croatia 1882), our Poisson model gives England to win 80%, draw 15%, Croatia to win 5%, most likely score 2:0. Full schedule, standings and bracket: the Fixtures & Results page.
England
Croatia