Model Forecast
Analytics Hub →France winDrawSenegal win
Most likely score France 2 : 0 Senegal · expected goals (xG) 2.30 / 0.35
Elo rating 2070 vs 1816 · source: World Football Elo Ratings (real data, refreshed daily)
Group I Standings
Full Schedule →France vs Senegal — What to Watch
FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I: France vs Senegal, Kuala Lumpur time Jun 17 03:00 (MYT, early-hours kick-off) at MetLife Stadium. Based on real World Football Elo Ratings (eloratings.net, France 2070 / Senegal 1816), our Poisson model gives France to win 82%, draw 14%, Senegal to win 4%, most likely score 2:0. Full schedule, standings and bracket: the Fixtures & Results page.
France
Senegal