Model Forecast
Analytics Hub →France winDrawIraq win
Most likely score France 2 : 0 Iraq · expected goals (xG) 2.83 / 0.18
Elo rating 2063 vs 1607 · source: World Football Elo Ratings (real data, refreshed daily)
Group I Standings
Full Schedule →France vs Iraq — What to Watch
FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I: France vs Iraq, Kuala Lumpur time Jun 23 00:00 (MYT, early-hours kick-off) at Lincoln Financial Field. Based on real World Football Elo Ratings (eloratings.net, France 2063 / Iraq 1607), our Poisson model gives France to win 91%, draw 8%, Iraq to win 1%, most likely score 2:0. Full schedule, standings and bracket: the Fixtures & Results page.
France
Iraq