Model Forecast
Analytics Hub →Ecuador winDrawGermany win
Most likely score Ecuador 1 : 1 Germany · expected goals (xG) 1.18 / 1.47
Elo rating 1871 vs 1908 · source: World Football Elo Ratings (real data, refreshed daily)
Group E Standings
Full Schedule →| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Curaçao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 1 |
Ecuador vs Germany — What to Watch
FIFA World Cup 2026 Group E: Ecuador vs Germany, Kuala Lumpur time Jun 26 04:00 (MYT, early-hours kick-off) at MetLife Stadium. Based on real World Football Elo Ratings (eloratings.net, Ecuador 1871 / Germany 1908), our Poisson model gives Ecuador to win 31%, draw 26%, Germany to win 44%, most likely score 1:1. Full schedule, standings and bracket: the Fixtures & Results page.
Ecuador
Germany