Model Forecast
Analytics Hub →Australia winDrawTurkey win
Most likely score Australia 1 : 1 Turkey · expected goals (xG) 1.11 / 1.54
Elo rating 1795 vs 1852 · source: World Football Elo Ratings (real data, refreshed daily)
Group D Standings
Full Schedule →| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Australia vs Turkey — What to Watch
FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D: Australia vs Turkey, Kuala Lumpur time Jun 14 12:00 (MYT, daytime kick-off) at Atlanta. Based on real World Football Elo Ratings (eloratings.net, Australia 1795 / Turkey 1852), our Poisson model gives Australia to win 27%, draw 25%, Turkey to win 47%, most likely score 1:1. Full schedule, standings and bracket: the Fixtures & Results page.
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