English
Match Report | Paraguay 0-1 France
France beat Paraguay 1-0 in their 2026 World Cup knockout tie at Lincoln Financial Field.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 0-2
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (0-2), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
Paraguay (No.21) and France (No.11) are 10 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; France went in the stronger side.
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.
