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Match Report | Netherlands 1-1 Morocco

✍ Qiqi 🗓 Jun 30, 2026 ⏱ ≈1 min read
Match Report | Netherlands 1-1 Morocco
Photo: Petr Šmerkl, Wikipedia / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Football_stadium_Za_Lužánkami_Brno_Panorama_2010.jpg (CC BY-SA 3.0)
knockout tieJun 30, 09:00 MYT · Estadio BBVA

Netherlands and Morocco played out a 1-1 draw in their 2026 World Cup knockout tie at Estadio BBVA.

Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 1-0
Netherlands 53%Draw 24%Morocco 23%

Prediction vs result

The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (1-0), and that gap is the story of this match.

Strength on paper

Netherlands (No.5) and Morocco (No.1) are 4 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; Morocco went in the stronger side.

Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.