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Match Report | Netherlands 1-1 Morocco

Netherlands and Morocco played out a 1-1 draw in their 2026 World Cup knockout tie at Estadio BBVA.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 1-0
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (1-0), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
Netherlands (No.5) and Morocco (No.1) are 4 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; Morocco went in the stronger side.
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.


