English
Match Report | Mexico 2-3 England
England beat Mexico 3-2 in their 2026 World Cup knockout tie at Estadio Azteca.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 0-2
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (0-2), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
Mexico (No.26) and England (No.4) are 22 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; England went in the stronger side.
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.
