English
Match Report | England 2-1 DR Congo
England beat DR Congo 2-1 in their 2026 World Cup knockout tie at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 2-0
Prediction vs result
The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (2-0), and that gap is the story of this match.
Strength on paper
England (No.3) and DR Congo (No.22) are 19 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; England went in the stronger side.
Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.
