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Match Report | France 3-0 Sweden

✍ Qiqi 🗓 Jul 1, 2026 ⏱ ≈1 min read
Match Report | France 3-0 Sweden
Photo: Petr Šmerkl, Wikipedia / https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Football_stadium_Za_Lužánkami_Brno_Panorama_2010.jpg (CC BY-SA 3.0)
knockout tieJul 1, 05:00 MYT · MetLife Stadium
France
3-0Full time
Sweden

France beat Sweden 3-0 in their 2026 World Cup knockout tie at MetLife Stadium.

Pre-match win probability model most-likely score 2-0
France 90%Draw 8.5%Sweden 1.4%

Prediction vs result

The result diverged from the model's most-likely score (2-0), and that gap is the story of this match.

Strength on paper

France (No.11) and Sweden (No.33) are 22 places apart on our PageRank Elo ladder; France went in the stronger side.

Data and verdicts here are generated automatically by our in-house rating and prediction models and update with the live result; analysis only, no insider claims.